I am a little fuzzy on the math, but in a 14'er like this, 8 townies may not be sufficient because it is only one more than half, and one of those rounds come endgame is no arrest and wait in the worst possible case scenario.

So you need an extra villager because of the extremely pro-disloyal even number advantage the traitorous maggots have.

I have 9 townies instead of 8, which means you can no arrest later in the game if I was extremely wrong.

As long as all 9 of those names are town we win.

If someone wants to tell me which if any of those names are not town I am now open to hearing that, as a conversation starter.

I have proposed a theory. Now, as my peers, you review it, and tell me why it is wrong if it is.

Being a fair judge here, I probably have gac3 too high and that one is probably the only actual danger of going deep, because I wanted a 9th name and was excited to think of a reason why gac was town.

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Quote Originally Posted by Rogan View Post
Now, to make sure we are on the same page: Are those 6 people you are never going to vote for locked? Or is this only valid for today? Since I think day 1 is a bit early to lock people as town, unless they do something realy spectacular.
This is my methodology and applies to my reads and my role this game.

Everyone else can do as they will, but I intend to convince all of you that the blues are town and not to be touched, and the teals are beyond consideration for the foreseeable future unless I am very wrong.

You can consider the blue names in the event the POE (process of elimination) list hits townies a lot. Never is a long time and also not applicable when the POE is very wrong.

Otherwise, you do not rearrange the POE without extremely strong reasons.

It forces the disloyal people into the uncomfortable position of needing to murder people who are not optimal murders simply because they can't arrest them.

From my side:
Mr Popo - you are save unless you get counterclaimed.
Since I have claimed two roles it seems silly to counterclaim me as I am obviously lying about one or both claims. Besides, I also claimed a role that isn't even in the game.

No town points for it anymore, but people can tell me why I did that if they want.

Snowblaze - you are save unless your plan results in a spectacular backfire.
I strongly encourage everyone not to follow that plan, but you're all autonomous beings.

Xi - You are save as long as you write nice letters and there is no realy good reason to vote you.
Generally you need positive reasons why someone is guilty as opposed to a lack of reasons why they are innocent, because I am afraid innocent people are often not particularly good at generating bulletproof reasons why they are town.

Particularly when they aren't here.

Rogan - I don't see my death as an advantage for town. After all, I can prommise you one thing: I won't kill a seer this game!
In addition to being lock town when Vecna is not, you are also independently villagery for your distrust of me in particular and suspicion that I have falsely claimed and that it must be wolfy of me. You remind me of nearly everyone I have ever met who has played with me for the first time.

BatCatHat - I like those posts for now. Plus, beeing in a similar TimeZone, so we might spend some time being active together.
BatCatHat is snug as a bug in a rug in my town list. There is just no disloyal agenda about any of their posts.

I don't have a strong scum read on anybody (well, I don't like some parts of Mr. Popo, but Count claim...). I think, AV is uncharacteristically silent, so I will stay sitting here with my vote. But honestly? If she realy is a traitor, I will feel lucky, not skilled.
This is a guessing game. It's better to be lucky and accurate than skilled and whiffing it.

Otherwise, Mr. Popo:
I think we can agree here,
Despite an extreme difference in styles, you can be the lawful Rogan to my chaotic Popo.

You shall be the paladin in shining armor who fights evil the proper way, and I shall be the distrustful sneaky rogue that sneaks up behind evil liches and stabs them with magic daggers.

While they're busy fighting you properly I will make them regret looking at you at all.

Meanwhile, if all votes on Libro could vanish, that'd be pretty gosh darned swell.