OOTS death pool (thread #4)

[sam79]

Woo woo! Point for rgrekejin!

Question: If Durkon becomes a Vampire, can I bet on Durkon again, in this case my wager being that the undead Durkon will be destroyed, like how a bet on Xykon or Malack would work?

That would seem reasonable.

[Rui]

Malack is the next. I think it will wear off (its a round per caster level and Malack and Durkon fought for a lot of time) and Belkar will run to warn the others, or Vaarsuvius will save him... she is powerful enough to kill Malack alone.

[DrBurr]

With Durkon's demise and Malack appearing to have no intention to Kill Mr.Scruffy I'm changing my bet to Belkar

[Sniffnoy]

Sorry all, had to step away from the internet for a day. Bad timing, it sems. Will update shortly.

Edit: OK -- updated, though stats may be a bit off. Will recheck those, and answer rules questions later -- although all the rules questions I've seen so far are already covered in what's written and don't require additional judgment calls. Still, will expicitly get to those anyway before too long.

[Mike Havran]

Eh. I'm going for a longshot.

Qarr is my bet.

[Syklone]

I'd like to bet on Belkar instead of Kilkil.

[Minitroll]

I put my monopoly on Belkar... I think he's next after Durkon... maybe even Durkon will do him in...

[Flame of Anor]

Malack is the next. I think it will wear off (its a round per caster level and Malack and Durkon fought for a lot of time) and Belkar will run to warn the others, or Vaarsuvius will save him... she is powerful enough to kill Malack alone.

But I don't think the vampiric gaze will wear off.

[Rui]

But I don't think the vampiric gaze will wear off.

Maybe, maybe not. He might get a neutral 20 on the save or even die. I just bet that Rich wouldn't kill 2 PCs in 2 strips. It'll lower the dramatic death of Durkon and will be silly, because the Order of the Stick will be doomed.

[ti'esar]

I'm going to change my bet to Malack.

[martianmister]

Belkar Bitterleaf, again.

[Rorrik]

Maybe, maybe not. He might get a neutral 20 on the save or even die. I just bet that Rich wouldn't kill 2 PCs in 2 strips. It'll lower the dramatic death of Durkon and will be silly, because the Order of the Stick will be doomed.

I'm starting to think the point is for the Order of the Stick to be so doomed they have to fish around for allies against Xykon, including Tarquin, Malack, and maybe Redcloak.

[rgrekejin]

My money is once again on Durkon.

[The Squirrel]

Hmmm... vampire Durkon is tempting, and while I do think he'll be killed soon, I think it'll be in a showdown with the linear guild during which kilkil will be the first (and possibly only) member that dies. I don't think Belkar will die anytime soon (next 50 strips), but if he does it won't be before taking out another kobald. So my next vote is for Kilkil.

[Peelee]

Belkar Bitterleaf, again.

Yeah. That. Might as well keep horses.

[white lancer]

I'm starting to think the point is for the Order of the Stick to be so doomed they have to fish around for allies against Xykon, including Tarquin, Malack, and maybe Redcloak.

I don't think they would even consider aligning with Malack after what he just did to Durkon.

Anyway, I guess I was right that neither Belkar nor Malack were going to die (at least not right away) in that fight, but I didn't guess Durkon at all. I don't think two members of the OotS will get vamped, especially not so close together--it would even be a little extreme for two of them to get killed normally in such quick succession. I think that Belkar is going to live for a while yet; either Malack honors Durkon's last request and lets him go, or someone intervenes, or he gets used against the Order via dominating gaze.

Do we have to post here if our vote isn't changing? Because I think I'm sticking with Kilkil. This may not be the wisest decision since he's not in any immediate danger, but it's gotta happen eventually, right?

[Sniffnoy]

OK, everything should now be caught up to the present, though I may have miscounted in some of the betting statistics; I'll fix that later.

To answer the various rules questions that have come up: No, you don't have to restate your bet if you're keeping it the same. In fact, if you restate it, I'll just ignore this (i.e. I won't take this to mean you can't change it later). And yes, if vampire Durkon is destroyed, that will count as another death for Durkon.

And no, I'm not going to go changing the basic rules now, however sensible the new system may be. This thing's been going for a while now and I don't want to have to work out any sort of transition. That just sounds like too much work. You want to start a different death pool thread with your own scoring mechanism, go ahead (so long as you make the thread title sufficiently different that it won't get confused with this one).

[ti'esar]

My congratulations to the remarkably accurate PhantomDennis, incidentally.

[John_Richards]

I wager on Malack, because now he needs to die!(re-die?, be "put-down"?)

[Prowl]

I'm going to go for the odds-on bet here and switch my prediction from Jirix (yes it was some time ago) to Belkar. I think I'll let that one ride since it seems to me that Belkar's clock is about up.

[sparky9042]

I'm not going to head straight for the Belkar bandwagon just yet. If I recall correctly he's got a few weeks left to live. Having said that, I do think Nale is bound to go sooner rather than later -- he was unconscious and a halfling attack from death last fight and is being entirely manipulated by Tarquin.

[Xhosant]

"For example, you would not be able to say "I bet that somebody from the Linear Guild will die". You have to specify which member it will be."

The kobold, d'oh.

[declinator]

Grmpf. Accidentally posted to the dead death pool thread yesterday But I take that opportunity to "improve" my bet (posts in the wrong thread don't count for me, so I take it that's OK) and put my stakes on Durkon, who will not be undead for long.

[Xenrei]

Put my money on Malack. "A kill for a kill" as they say...

[Warren Dew]

Malack, mostly because I'm getting to like the evil softie.

[Flame of Anor]

Actually, I'll change my vote to Malack as well.

[Sniffnoy]

OK, I've incorporated the stuff people posted to the old thread now too (except for declinator, I'm allowing him to get away with that since I didn't notice earlier and it was on the wrong thread).

And I'm counting Xhosant as having bet on Kilkil unless he says otherwise pretty soon.

[873]

It seems likely that Malack will die next, but I have a hunch that says Tarquin is going to die, so I vote Tarquin.

[Sniffnoy]

OK, I've fixed the betting stats, so everything should be up to date now.

Once again: If I've misrecorded your bet, or failed to record it, please let me know.

[Ornithologist]

I'm betting on Belkar Bitterleaf. Mostly because he has a short clock at this point, and I can't see the LG Kobold getting anywhere near enough to Belkar to join in a running gag...