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2014-11-20, 02:24 PM (ISO 8601)
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Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
So, I'm giving this another go. Wait for it...
List of Banters Past:SpoilerAmotis' Random Banter #1
Dhavaer's Random Banter #2
PhoeKun's Random Banter #3
Rei Jin's Random Banter #4
Toxic Avenger's Random Banter #5
Jibar's Random Banter #6
Ego Slayer's Surrogate Random Banter #7
Sneak's Random Barroom Brawl #8
Sophistemon's Solemnly Random Banter #9
Vaynor's Very Random Banter #10
Bookman's Blathering Random Banter #11
Gralamin's Glorious Random Banter #12
Rilik's Resplendently Random Raillery #13
Gezina's Growling Grazing Random Banter #14
The Zerglings Utterly And Geeky Random Banter #15
jaqueses Truthfully Randomly Fireside Banter # 16
Jack Squat’s Jubilantly Quixotic Random Banter #17
Cardel's Banter of Cookie Jubilation #18
Archonic's Chaotically Random Banter of Rods #19
The Rod's Inanimate Temple of RANDOM banter #20
Lucky’s Loquaciously Loud-Mouthed Random Banter#21
Deckmaster's Divinely Delightful Random Banter #22
Saithis' Soliloquy of Random Banter #23
Loveable Lianae's Ludicrous Lampooning Lottery #24
NEO|Phyte's Neolithic Nest of Weasel Banter #25
Target's Random Banter of "non-violence" #26
Tarnag40k's Random banter of "grammar errors" #27
Kyrian's Random Banter of ADHDness #28
El Jaspero's Random Drunken Ramblings #29
Boss Smiley's Eloquently Eggy Banter #30
Lykan's Looney Explosionarama & Random Banter #31
Iames's Iambic Yarn of Yammering #32
Dispozition's Deviously Distressed Banter #33
CP's Copiously Combusting Banter of Carnage #34
Alarra's Altar of Random Banter #35
Eloquent Rune's Electrifying Rambling Banter #36
E_P's Very Own Quite Popular Random Banter #37
Hydrogelic's Foolish Mortal Random Banter #38
Ink's Smudgy Splotchy Random Banter #39
Azrael's Big Black Book of Banter #40
The Logic Vampire's Rational Random Banter #41
Shiny's Shimmering Space-hitchin Random Banter #42
ZombieRockStar's Random Banter #43
Nostrabel's Realm of Cookies and Random Banter #44
Charity's Cheery Chatter Circle #45
Samiam's Spontaneous Scintillating Soliloquy #46
LLama's Masked Mysterious Random Banter #47
Ravishing Rydia's Recumbentibus ^_^ Random Banter #48
Penguinizers Perilous Random Banter #49
Death's delightfully morbid surrogate random banter #50
Wayril's wonderfully weird surrogate random banter #51
Rawhide's Deck of Random Banter (52 Cards)
Korith's Sorrogate Random Banter of Zombie Killing #53
Surrogate thread of random Bor-dom #54
Rex Idiotarum's Painfully Pogoing Thread #55
The Wrath of KHAAAAAANtalas’s William Shatner Flavored Random Banter # 56 (Surrogate)
EmeraldRose's Random Banter of Lashing Wit #57
Captain van der Decken's Surrogate Ship of Random Loot (Banter) #58
SDF's Neverending I-Don't-Have-an-OotS-Avatar-Yet Story Banter #59
Mauril's Surrogate Dwelf Banter of Fantasy Race Confusion 60th Edition
Rockphed's Dice Rolling Toga Party of 61 Drunken CIA Analysts
var Lord_Magtok = Random(Banter*62) + Surrogate
Jibar's Retro Random Banter #63
Malina's Random Spanish Banter #64 of morphical annoyance
Mr. E's Random Banter #65 of Cane Toting and Hat Tipping
Ego Slayer's Hellishly Random Banter #66.6
Purple Gelatinous Cube o' Doom's bowl of bantery j-e-ll-o randomness #67
Zephra's Random Banter of Ghostly Wailings, and Howling Fun#68
Cobra Ikari's Random Banter #69 of Rampant Hugging, Guttermindedness, and ;-) Kinky.
Scorpina's Random Banter #70
Raistlin1040's Super Special Awesome Random Banter #71(Now with 20% more tacos)
Uberblah's Random Banter #72 Of Caffeine And Sleep Deprivation Induced Randomness
Lucky’s Random Banter #73
Castaras's Random Banter #74
D'anna Biers RB #75
Zeb The Troll's RB#76
Eldpollard's RB #77
Gezina's and Calamity's Random banter #78 of double entendre and doom
Random Banter #79 In Loving Memory of Hexa_Regina
Zeratul's random banter #80 of throwing puppies off bridges
Vespe's Random Banter #81 of singing dolphins and mostly harmless planets.
CSK's Giant in the Playground Forums Addicted Anonymous, Random Banter #82
Iames's Ramblingly Erratic Belldandy-Charged Random Banter #83
Serpentine's Scintillating Sensually and Sinuously Seductive Stochastic Satire #84
Radikalskippy's Random Banter #85 of lost ideas and where to find them...
Moon Called's Random Banter #86 of Sexy Anime Boys and Fangirl Squeals
Lilly's Lovely Random Banter #87
FdL's Fuzzbox-Fueled Random Banter #88
SweetRein's Sugary Restrained Random Banter #89
Midnight's Mutant Motorcycle Madness Random Banter #90
Em's Extremely Extraordinarily Epic Random Banter #91
Dragonrider's Random Banter in Conjunction with the Weighted Cube #92
Bushranger's Bodaciously Buffed Random Banter-y Rooster #93
Haruki's Historically Hilarious Honey-covered Random Banter #94
North's Maple Syrup Flavored Non-Alliterative Random Banter #95 Eh?
Wadledo's Weirdly Warbling Watercress Watching Washing Machine Only Random Banter #96
SMEE's Random Banter #97 of gender bending and closet bursting
Raiser's Rambunctiously Rambling Random Banter #98
Dr. Bath's Random Banter, dripping with daring deeds of dastardly deipnosophists #99
VOTE, the Democracy Demon's Devilishly Devious and Decidedly Diabolical Desultory Derision (Random Banter) #100
Jack Squat's Justlessly Juxtaposed Random Banter #101
Dallas-Dakota's Dundering Dandelion's Devilish Damsel's Distress Random Banter #102
Destro Yersul's Dangerously Distracting and Doubtlessly Disturbing Random Banter #103
Aziraphales Actually Alliterative and Awesomely Affluent Random Banter #104
Cristo's Consistently Confusing and Constantly Casual Random Banter #105
Dish's Delightfully Deranged and Deliciously Deliquent Random Banter # 106
Slayer's Seemingly Sweet and Socially Silly Random Banter # 107
Zero's ambrosial and aberrantly adventitious, abstemiously erudite Random Banter #108
Coplantor's Completely Creative Cautious and Contemplative Random Banter #109
Rutskarn's Roly-Poly Rebellious and Rejected Random Banter #110
TwoBitWriter's Tubular Tracts of Thought-Talking Random Banter #111
Phase's Phully Phormed, Phalangeal, and Phantasmagorical Random Banter #112
Wolfbane's Wonderfully Wacky and Wildly Wandom Random Banter #113
The Kiwi's Kinkily Knotted and Kookily Kickass Random Banter #114
Jude's Judgmental Jugular Jab and Jibber Jabbery Random Banter #115
The Throne of Thufir's Thoroughly Theoretical and Therapeutic Random Banter #116
Random Banter #117
Dragonprime's Dynamically Dangerous Dextrous and Destructive Random Banter #118
Farmer Felix's Fantastic FRandom FBanter #119 (may contain traces of fnuts)
Groundhog's Random Banter of Weather Prediction and Anti-Gopherness (part one)
Groundhog's Random Banter of Weather Prediction and Anti-Gopherness (part two)
Mrmud's Mixed-Up and Minimally Mechanized Random Banter #121
Dogmantra's Dastardly, Despotic and Dangerous Random Banter #122
Alteran's Amazingly Anachronistic, Altruistic, and Antagonistic Random Banter #123
Admiral Euphoria's Random Banter Thread of Delusional Grandeur #124
Fred's Flying Fishy, Fighting, Fiery, Fantastic Face Off Random Banter #125
Cyrano’s Non-Alliterative Inaugurational Random Banter #126 To Usher In The Future
Thanatos's Tharmturges Present: Tropical, Tipsy, and Typically Random Banter #127
loopy's Legendary and Long-Awaited Lollipop Fuelled Random Banter #128
Shadow's Shady Shop of Sharks, Shingles, Shammies, Shiny and Random Banter #129
KataraAltinaII's Premature Not So Short & To-The-Point Random Banter #130
Supagoof's Supa-Sensational Silly Symphonies Set Sizzingly On Fire Random Banter #131
Pyrian's Pyrotechnic Pyre of Pyrrhic Pyros with Pyrotic Pythics Random Banter #132!
Perenelle's Pleasantly Playful and Passionately Peculiar Random Banter #133
Rpgsr4me's Ravenous, Roaring, Raging Rampage of Random Banter #134
Il'deav Ilah'naie's Indiscreet Intimacies on Indigo Iceboats Random Banter #135
Recaiden's Resplendent and Rotating Realistic Random Banter #136
Jibar's Random Banter #137: Return of the Cat-muffin
Edge's Effluence of Extravagant and Effulgent Random Banter #138
Zeb The Troll's Zecond Go At Ze Random Banter #139
Curly's Rambunctious and Erudite Random Banter #140
Deth Muncher's Destructive and Meandering Random Banter #141
A Thread in Which Banter Most Random is Expulsed Into Existence, By Ravens_cry #142
Several Silly Sealions Stuffed Seaweed Southward Swiftly (Or, Random Banter #143)
The thread that changed name one last time, with style. (Random Banter #144)
Banjo’s Bodacious & Boosted Bumper Bulletproof Box of Banter Most Random #145
Masa's Massively Masterful Message Medium - Random Banter #146
KuReshtin's Vociferously Ruminating Harbinger of Random Banter - #147
Archonic's Archaic Acronymical Antidisestablishmentarianism Random Banter - #148
Skeppio's Splendidly Strange & Superbly Scintillating Random Banter - #149
Teddy's Turbulent and Topicless Random Banter #150
Fifty-Eyed Fred's Ferociously Fanatical and Fabulously Fascinating Random Banter #151
Rae's Really Rascally and Ridiculously Rowdy Random Banter #152
Haruki's Hot n' Holy Random Banter #153
MoonCat's Magnificently Mythopoeic Random Banter #154
Eadin's Exchange of Extraterrestrial Excuses AKA Random Banter #155
Happy HalfTangible's Horrific Hail of Random Banter #156
AtlanteanTroll's Atrocious and Terrific Arcade of Terror - RB #157
LaLa’s Laughably Silly Random Banter Thread – RB #158
Zaydos's Zany Zooetic Random Banter - RB #159
Blue's Blessed and Blissful Random Banter - RB #160
Absolmorph's Azoic Arete of Adventitious and Aimless Random Banter - RB 161
Gwyn's Gloriously Green Garrumphing Garter of Garrulous Gabble! Random Banter #162
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Cynical Avocado's Absolutely Admirable Accumulation of Random Bantering #165
August's Pink Plushy and Phantasmagorically Random Banter Thread #166
Heliomance's Everchanging Thread Title Random Banter #167
Tragic_Comedian's Tremendously Tropical Random Banter #168
Qwertystop's Quickly Quilted, Quip-filled Random Banter #169
Thufir's Thupremely Thatithfying Thecond Random Banter With a Lithp #170
Feytalist's Fantastically Freakish First Random Banter #171
Dragonprime's Dashing Delight-fu Dazzling Dualistic Random Banter #172
Castaras' Random Banter #173: Bringing back your nostalgic Great Old Ones
Pokemon-freak89's Random Banter number eleventy-twelve... uhh... I mean... number 174
Dark Elf Bard's Random Banter #175:Playin' Underdark Jazz since the Drow went dark.
Mutant Sheep's Post Septaquintaquinquecentennial ApRiL fOoLs Random Banter: #176
Elemental's Excitingly Excellent Random Banter: No.CLXXVII (177)
Amiel's Appeasingly Appropriate Arbitrary Amusement (Random Banter): No.CLXXVIII #178
"Your Angel of Banter Awaits." ThePhantasm Presents Random Banter #179
Serpentine's Secretly Sapphic Salacious Sacrarium of Random Banter #180
Dimonite's Decidedly Draconic Devious Discussions: Random Banter #181
Mercenary Pen's Meticulously Planned Machine of Prose Random Banter #182
Mynxae's Maliciously Magnificent Random Banter #183
Kneenibble's Knack for Knightly Knickers: a Knell for Random Banter #184
Coid's Crowing Conundrum of a Canticle of Crookedly Random Banter #185
Amidus Drexel's Alliterative and Awe-Accentuating Anvil of Random Banter CLXXXVI
Absolmorph's Awkwardly Amorous Albeit Alliterative Advances of Random Banter #187
Wombat's Whimsical Wonderland of Random Banter #188
Death's Daunting but Daring Denouement of Random Banter #189
Dragon Eggs in Lederhosen and Burning Drakes with Random Banter
Devmaar's Notably Unalliterative Random Banter #191
Cuthalion's Creatively Created Cranny for Random Banter #192
TaiLiu's Tea-Filled Tome of Random Banter #193
FinnLassie's Fantabulous Facade of Random Banter #194
Taet's Acrostic: Everyone's Tuned into Random Banter #195
Random Banter #196
House of Much Random Banter and Haluesen's Various Wondrous Cookies #197
Dallas-Dakota's Dastardly and Devious Dancing Debate of Random Banter #198
Random Banter#Who really knows anymore?#Rawhide knows it's 199
Forum Staff's Random Banter of Oh My Gosh You Guys Really Talked for 200 Threads???
Skeppio's Superfluously Splendid Random Banter #201
Teddy's Twofold Tempestuous and Tranquil Random Banter #202
EmeraldRose's Extraordinarily Energetic Espresso-For-All Random Banter #203
chaotic stupid presents the stupidly chaotic random banter #204
Asta Kask presents the awesome alliterative random banter #205
Mr.Silver has brought your fix: Random Banter #206
AtlanteanTroll's Additional Tirade Atrocious Threads Random Banter #207
KuReshtin's Kallously Konfusing Konsternations - Random Banter #208
jhunter_d's Gelatinous Jamborie of a Random Banter #209
Random Rules for a Random Banter
waaaait for it.......
1. Spam. For the purposes of RB, one word posts are generally considered spam. Likewise, posts that are nothing but *actions like this* are also be considered spam. Remember that the quality of the post's content is much better than the speed of your response.
2. This isn't the Play by Post or Town forum, nor is it the Silly Message Board Games or Structured Games forum. Please avoid continuous roleplay or mock battles and fights such as the "competition for control of the universe".
3. If it's already a thread, don't bring it to RB. RB has such a huge range of subject matter even restricted to the little snippets that probably don't warrant their own thread, it doesn't need legitimate thread topics cluttering it up as well. The exception to this is to bring something that is off-topic from one thread, but on-topic for RB and the subject doesn't warrant a thread of its own.
4. Don't advertise other threads in RB. Just because these new threads move at speeds more appropriate to a message board than an IM session doesn't mean you need to come over to RB and brow beat people into posting in your latest brainchild.
5. Please don't post single line posts alerting us to your current status -- as in "I'm back." This is Random Banter, not "How to stalk Random GitP forum members."
6. Don't poke, kick or bump the thread. It will move at whatever pace it wants to. Also, please refrain from Captain Obvious comments akin to "My, the thread is fast today."
7. Random Banter can only be as good, or as entertaining, as you make it. Demands to be entertained will fall on deaf ears unless you can add something more meaningful to the conversation.
8. As this is a public forum, where the current topic is nicely recorded for you, and not a conversation where you could have missed the beginning, please refrain from asking something to the effect of "What's the topic?". Please take the time to read up a bit first.
9. Thread Creator must include the words "Random" and "Banter" as well as the thread #. Try to be concise as well.
10. Every post should contain two visible, legible complete sentences, Subject and Predicate. C'mon, make your old English teachers proud.
11. Remember, Random Banter is not your IM client. If you want to have a back and forth discussion with just one person, look in their contact information for IM details.
12. Whenever a new thread is created, all "first post", "first page", and all posts of that nature will be deleted by the administrators. Please avoid doing this, as it is frustrating for them to deal with one-lined posts like this.
13. Double-posting is not your friend. We have edit buttons for a reason.
14. Once you have made a Random Banter thread, you must wait 50 threads before making another one.
15. If you can avoid dibs calling on making the next thread, that will avoid people needing to wait if the thread hits 50 pages while the dibs-caller is asleep.
Well? What are you waiting for? Get chattering already!Last edited by Qwertystop; 2014-11-21 at 02:42 PM.
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2014-11-20, 02:31 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
woo, new thread
ION: soon-ish i'm enrolling at a TAFE for a course that'll let me work at libraries/museums/similar places. i can't waitLast edited by Somensjev; 2014-11-20 at 03:09 PM.
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2014-11-20, 02:37 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
Praise be the new thread! Which innocent soul shall we sacrifice to our overlord The Giant today?
Originally Posted by LaZodiac
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2014-11-20, 02:40 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
Yay new thread. Errybody have a dance.
Also, might be going to see Big Hero Six this weekend with my Aunt and her kid. Oh man really good movies.
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2014-11-20, 02:41 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
Avatar by Venetian Mask. It's of an NPC from a campaign I may yet run (possibly in PbP) who became a favorite of mine while planning.
I am a 10/14/11/15/12/14 LG Clr 2
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2014-11-20, 02:52 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
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2014-11-20, 02:58 PM (ISO 8601)
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2014-11-20, 03:00 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
I use braces (also known as "curly brackets") to indicate sarcasm. If there are none present, I probably believe what I am saying; should it turn out to be inaccurate trivia, please tell me rather than trying to play along with an apparent joke I don't know I'm making.
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2014-11-20, 03:05 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
I have found a RL gaming group but I'm willing to meet other GitP people nearby.
Please send a PM or an email! _______ Tea served in a student cafe in Seattle
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2014-11-20, 03:18 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
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2014-11-20, 04:32 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
Avatar by Venetian Mask. It's of an NPC from a campaign I may yet run (possibly in PbP) who became a favorite of mine while planning.
I am a 10/14/11/15/12/14 LG Clr 2
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2014-11-20, 04:36 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
Hey, new thread smell! I'd join in on discussions and stuff and replying to people from the thread yonder, but I feel horribly ill. So I'm just popping in to have been here a moment. If anyone needs me I'll be in some various corner, likely comatose. *wave* Here's to hoping I feel better today.
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2014-11-20, 08:04 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
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2014-11-20, 08:52 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
Well I'm furious at one of my professors. I got my first 0% on a quiz. Why? Not because I didn't know anything. No, I had all correct answers and valid solutions. No, to the best of my understanding, he didn't count it as showing work because I didn't use the same solution as he did.
Avatar by Venetian Mask. It's of an NPC from a campaign I may yet run (possibly in PbP) who became a favorite of mine while planning.
I am a 10/14/11/15/12/14 LG Clr 2
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2014-11-20, 10:10 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
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2014-11-20, 10:13 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
If you did show the work in some way, I would talk to him about it. Either you will find out that is not the reason, or you may get to improve a grade. From my experience, talking to someone about it is the best way to handle it. Your method clearly worked. Also, I strongly dislike people who believe their way is the only way, eslecially since there is usually another way.
Edit: I completely agree with LaZodiac on this.Last edited by Duck999; 2014-11-20 at 10:13 PM.
Avatar made by Bradakhan| Other avatars.
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2014-11-20, 10:23 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
I'm starting by just talking to him about it. Explaining that I did show all of my work and what my methodology was. Also owning up to the fact that I did have one mistake in notation. I forgot to say I was taking the variance given some variables, but that should have been inferrable from context.
EDIT: Also, I'm not mad about the reasoning, oddly enough. Although you can be sure I'm giving a very negative evaluation at the end of the semester. I'm more mad that he took off so many points.Last edited by Razanir; 2014-11-20 at 10:25 PM.
Avatar by Venetian Mask. It's of an NPC from a campaign I may yet run (possibly in PbP) who became a favorite of mine while planning.
I am a 10/14/11/15/12/14 LG Clr 2
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2014-11-21, 03:18 AM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
In actuarial science and mathematical statistics, the method by which you got your answer is frequently more important than the answer itself. However, if you can explain your reasoning behind your method, you really should be getting some points at least.
Although if you got to the real answers, you must be doing something right. Maybe he just wanted to make a point about the methods to use. Or something equally idiotic.Awesome fremetar by wxdruid.
From the discomfort of truth there is only one refuge and that is ignorance. I do not need to be comfortable, and I will not take refuge. I demand to *know*.
So I guess I have an internets? | And a trophy. | And a music cookie (whatever that is).
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2014-11-21, 04:49 AM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
The same goes for computer science, really. If your solution scales too poorly, or fails to follow established coding conventions, it may be failed per default even if it reaches the correct answer.
For instance, we have one professor right now who fails you on the course if you on two separate occations forget to document but a single loop variant. Or accidently name one of the handin files incorrectly. But then again, he seriously doesn't have enough time to deal with the overhead of renaming a huge bunch of files to be able to run their test scripts on them, and he hasn't been anything but clear about what the rules are.Last edited by Teddy; 2014-11-21 at 04:53 AM.
Clouddreamer Teddy by me, high above the world, far beyond its matters...
Spoiler: Banner by Vrythas
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2014-11-21, 06:39 AM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
If you got the correct answerz, you should have gotten at least partial credit. Please tell me if you do fogure out what was wrong. I really want to know why someone marked off so many points for it.
Avatar made by Bradakhan| Other avatars.
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2014-11-21, 10:03 AM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
It was about predicting time series. On one question, I solved it exactly correctly, I just "eyeballed" the prediction equation. To me, at least, it's a simple enough expected value that I shouldn't need to say I'm taking one. If it's a linear sum of past terms and error terms, I think it's fairly obvious that to predict it, you just plug predicted/observed values into the recursion and assume future errors are 0.
The other one was finding the width of a two-period prediction interval. Except instead of working with the error two periods from now, I used the actual time series. So I used that same recursive logic to find the predicted value in terms of errors and observed values. (I.e. things with known variance) Then I just used the usual sum of variance formula, with V(ε) as the estimate value we were given and V(observed value) as 0.
On a happier note, I think I found the two most obvious statements I've made in math classes recently.
- If a=b, then a=b
- V(X|X) = 0
Avatar by Venetian Mask. It's of an NPC from a campaign I may yet run (possibly in PbP) who became a favorite of mine while planning.
I am a 10/14/11/15/12/14 LG Clr 2
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2014-11-21, 10:54 AM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
Yeah, in easier cases it's possible to see what the answer "should" be. And it's tempting to just give it
But I imagine that the point is to use the standard methods for the easy stuff, so that when the more difficult stuff comes around, it is already ingrained. You won't be able to do the same with a time series with a weird cyclical trend, or with non-zero future error terms, or whatever. I've always found it useful to state your assumptions at least generally, like
Assume future trends follow past experience, and
Assume future expected deviation is zero
and so on.
Might sound obvious, but sometimes it's what they want.
On a happier note, I think I found the two most obvious statements I've made in math classes recently.
- If a=b, then a=b
- V(X|X) = 0
Awesome fremetar by wxdruid.
From the discomfort of truth there is only one refuge and that is ignorance. I do not need to be comfortable, and I will not take refuge. I demand to *know*.
So I guess I have an internets? | And a trophy. | And a music cookie (whatever that is).
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2014-11-21, 10:59 AM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
OH MY GOSH SNOW EVERYWHERE YEEEESSSSS
It wasn't fun to sit an hour on the bus when it usually takes 10 minutes, though. Looads of people seemed to be unprepared for the weather.Originally Posted by LaZodiac
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2014-11-21, 11:10 AM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
Part of the problem is that I'm very much used to recursion at this point. My logic: Any given term is just a sum (because we're only doing ARMA right now). The expected value of a sum is the sum of expected values. All the terms are either constants, errors, or previous terms. Constants stay, well, constant. Errors we assume are 0. Previous terms are either other predicted values or observed values.
I won't deny that there might be cases where that doesn't work. But this is definitely a time where I'd need to see one to get why.
Both of these statements fills me with an immense satisfaction
If a=b, then a=b: I was attempting to see if the first n moments can uniquely define a set of n elements. This was the base case for n=1.
V(X|X) = 0: In that second time series question, I wound up with V(Y_T | Y_1, ..., Y_T).Avatar by Venetian Mask. It's of an NPC from a campaign I may yet run (possibly in PbP) who became a favorite of mine while planning.
I am a 10/14/11/15/12/14 LG Clr 2
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2014-11-21, 11:14 AM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
I go by they/them/their or he/him/his pronouns
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2014-11-21, 11:40 AM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
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2014-11-21, 12:11 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
I live in the cheaper suburbs, so no one really has their own driveways to shovel as we're all cramped in these blocks of flats. I kinda miss and don't miss doing it - I just have some really fond memories of doing it with dad when I was a kid, back when we lived in the countryside. If I could, I would join you! And then we'd make a snow castle and shoot enemies from there.
Originally Posted by LaZodiac
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2014-11-21, 12:18 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
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2014-11-21, 02:17 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
Avatar made by Bradakhan| Other avatars.
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2014-11-21, 02:25 PM (ISO 8601)
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Re: Qwertystop's Unexpected-To-Everyone-Or-At-Least-To-Him Random Banter #210
Why do people assume 1337-speech is read purely left-to-right, and that 7 represents T.
Neither of those things are true. 7 represents L. "L337" means "LEEL," "LELE," "ELEL" and "ELLE," none of which mean anything. 1337 means LEET, but if read purely from left-to-right, while otherwise doing the proper decoding, would technically be TEEL.
I don't know why I brought this up.
I use braces (also known as "curly brackets") to indicate sarcasm. If there are none present, I probably believe what I am saying; should it turn out to be inaccurate trivia, please tell me rather than trying to play along with an apparent joke I don't know I'm making.