I had to Google graupel too when I received the message.

The way I see it, I've tried to lynch 2 real people while you've lynched a boat and am trying to lynch a bus now so the total odds of me voting for wolf compared to you voting for a wolf so far is definitely higher

As for my paranoid theory and why I'm voting you - if the bus gets lynched, I'm probably going to have a graupel of a bus tossed at me tonight and I might not survive that.