I mean, yeah, that seems like the most likely possibility to me too, but I have to at least keep acting like it's not one-sided. Then again, guess you could also say that the real-life world wars were decided from the start, but that didn't stop them from being horrible nonetheless.
The real question is how many great wars we're going to have before we even reach HoI4.
I notice that my first reflex when something like this is pointed out tends to be to act coy like I'd planned it all along, but every now and then (such as now) I have to give credit for noticing an angle I didn't actually think of!
Hah, that really is a big coincidence. I didn't even know that AAR existed, I'll probably check it out!