Quote Originally Posted by Mechalich View Post
Tabletop gaming developers are generally writers by training, not statisticians, mathematicians, or people in any other field with a high degree of numeric literacy. Heck, Gary Gygax's training as an insurance underwriter probably puts him well ahead of average in terms of mathematics training among TTRPG devs. Also...
This isn't stuff that needs a team of professional statisticians. You can wander down to a university coffee shop and get the analysis you need from a student half way through their first stats class. The coffee fund will cover the expense. It just takes someone caring enough to ask if the "easy" X successes before Y failures trial really is easier than the hard one.