Quote Originally Posted by Jasdoif View Post
Something other than what you describe. Like...I don't think saying "a d20 roll coming out even is more likely than a natural 1" requires me to choose which of 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, 16, 18, or 20 is the outcome; if I was confident in precisely what happened, I'd be better served betting on that.
I guess I'm having a hard time wrapping my head around your position because I'm having a hard time picturing how it happened in some way other than as I described. You seem to think it's more likely it happened some other way, but I don't even have a framework for what that other way would look like, so it's hard for me to picture.